House Majority leader Eric
Cantor asserts
the deficit is growing, using that as the rationale for further cuts in federal
spending. In fact, as reported
by the Congressional Budget Office, the deficit is falling steeply, to less
than half of what it was as a proportion of GDP in 2009.
This continued deception by
Republicans as a means of advancing their obsession with fiscal austerity is
doing the opposite of what it claims. Across the board, corporate, academic and
government economists are telling us that job growth, economic recovery and
longer-term prosperity are being hindered by cuts in government spending.
The Federal Reserve was
uncharacteristically blunt when it said
“fiscal policy is restraining economic growth.” The Federal Reserve Bank of San
Francisco reports
that fiscal policy has become “unusually contractionary.” It estimates that
growth could be reduced by as much as 1 percentage point annually over the next
three years if current policies continue.
The International Monetary Fund believes the
sequester has put a “heavy toll” on short-term growth, and that its
“indiscriminate” cuts in investment-oriented spending could reduce longer-term
economic growth.
As reported
in The New York Times, Bank of America Merrill Lynch told its clients that
“fiscal drag has likely reduced growth this year at least 1.5 percentage
points, and isn’t over yet.” The chairman of the Economic Advisory Committee of
the American Bankers Association stated
“greater-than-expected fiscal drag…could still pose downside risks.”
Princeton economist and Nobel laureate
Paul Krugman has reported extensively on the fallacy of austerity policies, noting
that “any fiscal savings come at the expense of reduced output and higher
unemployment.” Calling austerity in the current environment “a terrible idea,”
Krugman explains that contractionary policy “may inflict long-run economic
damage that actually worsens the long-run fiscal position.”
Despite this, Republicans are
gearing up once again to use debt ceiling negotiations to blackmail the Obama
administration into further spending cuts, mostly at the expense of the less
advantaged. At significant cost to the recovery, Democrats have already made
major concessions on spending.
Tax and entitlement reform are
necessary to long-term economic growth, but in the short run, stimulus is
what’s needed, not austerity. It’s time to listen to the experts, and stand
firm against the destructive Republican economic agenda.
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